Publications
Summary
Describes the outcomes of a collaborative study of the epidemiological, social and economic risks and vulnerabilities related to HIV/AIDS in the sub-region incorporating Papua New Guinea, Indonesia and East Timor.
Description
This study was undertaken in four phases. First, the research team worked with AusAID to identify in-country partners and data sources. In the second phase of the study, mathematical models were developed to predict the course of the HIV epidemic based on the best available epidemiological data and three different intervention scenarios. The methodology and findings of this phase are presented in Part 1 of the Final Report.
Next, the output of the epidemic model was applied to forecast the economic and social consequences of HIV/AIDS under each of the three intervention scenarios and to provide cost effectiveness analyses of the interventions. The methodology and findings of this phase are presented in Part 2 of the Final Report.
Finally, in-country workshops were held in Indonesia and PNG to present and discuss the results. Appendices to this Final Report include details of the national counterparts in each of the three countries, assumptions and technical notes relating to the methodology of the study.
Impacts of HIV/AIDS 2005-2025 in Papua New Guinea, Indonesia and East Timor [PDF 1.48MB]
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